Houston Texans O 41½
Denver is coming off an ugly 41-28 home loss against Atlanta last week. The Broncos are 7-0 OVER SINCE 1992 after allowing at least 40 points in their prior game!! Denver at one point had the league's top-rated defense. You can kiss that goodbye. Stud S John Lynch is out 2-4 weeks with a broken tailbone which is a huge blow to the secondary. Houston now has one of the NFL's most diverse offensive attacks led by David Carr who has the #2 passer rating in the AFC. In fact, Carr has thrown for the second-most yards in the AFC (1,917). It was just two years ago that the expansion Texans had trouble locating the endzone, failing to score a touchdown in SIX consecutive games! To get an idea how things have changed, Houston did NOT panic last Sunday when WR Jabar Gaffney lost the football on a premature celebration before crossing the goal line. The Texans pretty much felt they had the ability to get those lost 7 points back in a hurry, as the offense is now playing with supreme CONFIDENCE. If you get to watch today's game on Sunday Ticket, keep an eye on WR Andre Johnson who has 42 catches already for 665 total yards and 4 touchdowns. Houston failed to play OVER the total last Sunday as they scored a 20-6 victory against Jacksonville. However, that was a big DIVISIONAL game in the AFC South. That is NOT the case this afternoon in Denver, where I am going to be depending on one of the league's most diverse offenses to "crank it up" against a suddenly soft Broncos defense that has surrendered a grand total of 64 POINTS the past two weeks. Yes, Denver statiscally had the league's #1 ranked defense entering that Monday affair at Cincinnati two weeks ago. It just goes to show you that unit was playing a bit over their heads in the early going. It is not very often that you will find a team like Denver lose a game like last week when their quarterback (Jake Plummer) threw for a CLUB RECORD 449 yards! I look for Houston to get some bonus DEFENSIVE points this afternoon because Plummer has recently been an accident waiting to happen (8 Interceptions in the past 4 starts). I also expect the Broncos to be firing on all offensive cylindars again as they will do anything to avoid entering a BYE week with 3 consecutive defeats. Getting back to Houston, QB David Carr's emergence should be no real surprise when you consider he has the infamous "third-year quarterback thing" going for him. Yes, year #3 generally is a MATURING year for a young NFL signal caller. I will wrap this up with an excellent 29-6 SYSTEM which has covered at a sweet 82-PERCENT clip the past 10 seasons. Basically, you play a team like Houston coming off a DIVISIONAL victory OVER a total of 35'-to-42, versus an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite! That system makes sense because DIVISIONAL games tend to be more intense and lower scoring. That will not be the case today.
GOOD LUCK
Denver is coming off an ugly 41-28 home loss against Atlanta last week. The Broncos are 7-0 OVER SINCE 1992 after allowing at least 40 points in their prior game!! Denver at one point had the league's top-rated defense. You can kiss that goodbye. Stud S John Lynch is out 2-4 weeks with a broken tailbone which is a huge blow to the secondary. Houston now has one of the NFL's most diverse offensive attacks led by David Carr who has the #2 passer rating in the AFC. In fact, Carr has thrown for the second-most yards in the AFC (1,917). It was just two years ago that the expansion Texans had trouble locating the endzone, failing to score a touchdown in SIX consecutive games! To get an idea how things have changed, Houston did NOT panic last Sunday when WR Jabar Gaffney lost the football on a premature celebration before crossing the goal line. The Texans pretty much felt they had the ability to get those lost 7 points back in a hurry, as the offense is now playing with supreme CONFIDENCE. If you get to watch today's game on Sunday Ticket, keep an eye on WR Andre Johnson who has 42 catches already for 665 total yards and 4 touchdowns. Houston failed to play OVER the total last Sunday as they scored a 20-6 victory against Jacksonville. However, that was a big DIVISIONAL game in the AFC South. That is NOT the case this afternoon in Denver, where I am going to be depending on one of the league's most diverse offenses to "crank it up" against a suddenly soft Broncos defense that has surrendered a grand total of 64 POINTS the past two weeks. Yes, Denver statiscally had the league's #1 ranked defense entering that Monday affair at Cincinnati two weeks ago. It just goes to show you that unit was playing a bit over their heads in the early going. It is not very often that you will find a team like Denver lose a game like last week when their quarterback (Jake Plummer) threw for a CLUB RECORD 449 yards! I look for Houston to get some bonus DEFENSIVE points this afternoon because Plummer has recently been an accident waiting to happen (8 Interceptions in the past 4 starts). I also expect the Broncos to be firing on all offensive cylindars again as they will do anything to avoid entering a BYE week with 3 consecutive defeats. Getting back to Houston, QB David Carr's emergence should be no real surprise when you consider he has the infamous "third-year quarterback thing" going for him. Yes, year #3 generally is a MATURING year for a young NFL signal caller. I will wrap this up with an excellent 29-6 SYSTEM which has covered at a sweet 82-PERCENT clip the past 10 seasons. Basically, you play a team like Houston coming off a DIVISIONAL victory OVER a total of 35'-to-42, versus an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite! That system makes sense because DIVISIONAL games tend to be more intense and lower scoring. That will not be the case today.
GOOD LUCK
